TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Marist Red Foxes vs. Bryant Bulldogs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marist Red Foxesof Marist Red Foxes, Bryant Bulldogs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,185
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,551

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,185 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3a7a…15a4backed Bryant Bulldogs48c2,105$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00035151.9%182 W · 169 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Marist Red Foxes70c907.41$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.523,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Marist Red Foxes53c542.98$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.3312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Bryant Bulldogs26c487.85$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.721,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Marist Red Foxes66c360.36$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.875,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Bryant Bulldogs44c299.77$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.929444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Marist Red Foxes58c298$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6415939%62 W · 97 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bryant Bulldogs18c288.6$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.52,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Marist Red Foxes52c254$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.332,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Marist Red Foxes56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11049746.5%231 W · 266 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bryant Bulldogs39c212.5$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.392,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5791…a476backed Bryant Bulldogs10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Bryant Bulldogs40c128.01$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.963,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d55…7cbabacked Marist Red Foxes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707149.3%35 W · 36 L+19.3wins+0.27per pick22cpaid+92.7%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Bryant Bulldogs70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7025438.2%97 W · 157 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Marist Red Foxes57c86.84$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.342138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Marist Red Foxes72c73.35$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.481,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Marist Red Foxes56c64.47$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.624,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bf2…24d7backed Bryant Bulldogs34c51.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.833429.4%10 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Marist Red Foxes60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1627955.2%154 W · 125 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Marist Red Foxes75c38.32$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.625,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bc5…7ac4backed Marist Red Foxes56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Bryant Bulldogs41c35.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4355657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Marist Red Foxes51c31.31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.341,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Marist Red Foxes62c30.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5310037%37 W · 63 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Marist Red Foxes56c28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.292,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.