Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kansas State Wildcats vs. Creighton Bluejays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b4f2bcbfc012662e4e19eb47114773ccaaf20999e23e1bb9be9bb6e88d7c6fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas State Wildcatsof Kansas State Wildcats, Creighton Bluejays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Creighton Bluejays | 26c | 5,141$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.36 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc97…58a6backed Kansas State Wildcats | 47c | 2,138$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 78c | 1,102$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.94 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Creighton Bluejays | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Creighton Bluejays | 28c | 690.82$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.51 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Creighton Bluejays | 62c | 688.84$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.08 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kansas State Wildcats | 38c | 592$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.04 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Creighton Bluejays | 64c | 546$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.44 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Creighton Bluejays | 36c | 523.91$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.91 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 37c | 508.93$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.71 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Creighton Bluejays | 15c | 422.95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Creighton Bluejays | 24c | 337$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Creighton Bluejays | 65c | 311$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.41 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…24d7backed Creighton Bluejays | 24c | 240.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kansas State Wildcats | 80c | 210$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Creighton Bluejays | 34c | 184.09$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Creighton Bluejays | 10c | 112.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Creighton Bluejays | 61c | 105.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…04f6backed Kansas State Wildcats | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Kansas State Wildcats | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Creighton Bluejays | 64c | 90$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Creighton Bluejays | 31c | 60.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Creighton Bluejays | 63c | 51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Kansas State Wildcats | 63c | 49.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kansas State Wildcats | 36c | 37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Creighton Bluejays | 56c | 36.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 34c | 36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf90c…f49cbacked Creighton Bluejays | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Kansas State Wildcats | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 76c | 29.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Kansas State Wildcats | 37c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…e5aabacked Kansas State Wildcats | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…cc15backed Creighton Bluejays | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f4…d0f6backed Creighton Bluejays | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.