Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Ball State Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc8f5b76caf8ff0156e372231e485467498923668bd9bfb8c1f52bf8f1c70cd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eastern Michigan Eaglesof Eastern Michigan Eagles, Ball State Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ball State Cardinals | 5c | 2,471$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.89 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ball State Cardinals | 65c | 1,793$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.07 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 49c | 826$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.69 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Ball State Cardinals | 51c | 824$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.24 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 35c | 650.88$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.92 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Ball State Cardinals | 21c | 521.51$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.03 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 42c | 493$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.95 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Ball State Cardinals | 6c | 389.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Ball State Cardinals | 24c | 381.67$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Ball State Cardinals | 53c | 380$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Ball State Cardinals | 51c | 333.32$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.66 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 47c | 273$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.69 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 80c | 210$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 49c | 204.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.2 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Ball State Cardinals | 52c | 165$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Ball State Cardinals | 51c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ball State Cardinals | 21c | 86.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 47c | 79.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81bb…8544backed Ball State Cardinals | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 73c | 65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24a0…1baebacked Ball State Cardinals | 52c | 48.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 48c | 45.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 49c | 41.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…8b77backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 48c | 41.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 48c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 49c | 38.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ba…c20bbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 50c | 33.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 51c | 32.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Ball State Cardinalsthis page
- Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Ball State Cardinals: O/U 138.5Under won
- Spread: Ball State Cardinals (-1.5)Eastern Michigan Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.