Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dragons Esports vs GnG Amazigh - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2c4d64cc036c813c507309ba54527be0465f3ce1dc19ea30cec23167d62f949
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dragons Esportsof Dragons Esports, GnG Amazigh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe343…5c31backed GnG Amazigh | 31c | 128.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 315 | 22.9%72 W · 243 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Dragons Esports | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed GnG Amazigh | 29c | 62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Dragons Esports | 74c | 60.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed GnG Amazigh | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Dragons Esports | 69c | 43.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Dragons Esports | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Dragons Esports | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dragons Esports vs GnG Amazigh - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: DRG (-1.5) vs GnG Amazigh (+1.5)Dragons Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Dragons Esports vs GnG Amazigh (BO3) - Arabian League Group StageDragons Esports won
- LoL: Dragons Esports vs GnG Amazigh - Game 2 WinnerDragons Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.