Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81597ca6662c8738209f5766f944462b19ac38a12f09eebaf90832dff13f261e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southern Miss Golden Eaglesof Southern Miss Golden Eagles, Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 65c | 1,883$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.59 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 43c | 1,655$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.01 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 51c | 1,328$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.92 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 8c | 759.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 32c | 657.01$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.22 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 8c | 653.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 77c | 332.09$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.43 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 54c | 299.84$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.31 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 33c | 264.63$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.27 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 59c | 208.8$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.61 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 31c | 159$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 38c | 148.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 26c | 119$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 34c | 94.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 34c | 83.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 37c | 74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 61c | 44.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 63c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa848…68fcbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 38c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 38c | 36.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x891c…ef89backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 46c | 32.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…8b77backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 62c | 31.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 37c | 30.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajunsthis page
- Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns: O/U 131.5Over won
- Spread: Southern Miss Golden Eagles (-4.5)Southern Miss Golden Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.