La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8b24996ad70f3e71b5c22a3481761ce640bbfbe90bf66367188ee946f35976b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 39c | 17,297$6,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,746.01 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 61c | 15,000$9,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,850 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 61c | 8,000$4,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,123.44 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 4,113$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.08 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 654.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.17 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 39c | 442$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.38 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked No | 39c | 368.02$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.53 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 20c | 361.08$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 40c | 311.34$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.05 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 39c | 259.85$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.34 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 59c | 169.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 39c | 119$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed No | 40c | 108$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 78c | 49.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked No | 30c | 40.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 60c | 33.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d19fbacked Yes | 58c | 31.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…6d13backed Yes | 60c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Yes | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 40c | 25.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 71c | 24.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Yes | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 71c | 21.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…14dcbacked Yes | 58c | 19.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…d32ebacked Yes | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2025-12-20?No won
- Will UD Las Palmas vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.