La Liga · resolved market
Girona FC vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa112c5ca023441121a54ae04ce9a0bb6c18f80c27fd040fc8bcb9f29c5358644
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 9,010$5,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,048.75 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Over | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.83 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 28c | 912.17$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.9 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 56c | 878.48$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.53 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 57c | 541.1$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.67 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 74c | 416.2$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.11 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 21c | 387.09$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 58c | 357.14$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.07 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.24 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 30c | 228.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…3539backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Under | 58c | 181.52$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.54 | 163 | 42.3%69 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 64c | 131.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 41c | 119.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 58c | 119.83$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.83 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 57c | 118.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 41c | 105.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 44c | 100.64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 40c | 100.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 26c | 96.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 71c | 72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Under | 58c | 70.68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 62c | 67.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 68c | 62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 24c | 51.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…2d79backed Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…f4d2backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 76c | 45.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 46c | 43.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 57c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 37.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Over | 43c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 36c | 32.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 58c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Under | 62c | 29.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Over | 43c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed Over | 43c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1bfdbacked Over | 43c | 23.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…67a5backed Under | 66c | 23.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 69c | 22.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -34%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 75c | 14.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Girona FC vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5this page
- Girona FC vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Girona FC vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.