La Liga · resolved market
Girona FC vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29349f909ff4f431821337791b7acfef7a3fda27faee7f5509bd6f0a077def92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 8,083$3,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,783.21 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked No | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.98 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 50c | 1,999$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.59 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked No | 50c | 1,431$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.93 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba5…5f1cbacked No | 50c | 600.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 51c | 582.32$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.98 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 524.92$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.26 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 51c | 400$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 53c | 301.84$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.72 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Yes | 54c | 248.15$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 52c | 232$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 163 | 42.3%69 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes | 57c | 175.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 49c | 175$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 42c | 128.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 51c | 125.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 50c | 119.91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 51c | 117.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 46c | 107.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…6015backed No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2278…3188backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Yes | 45c | 88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes | 51c | 82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 51c | 77.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked No | 49c | 59.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 53c | 50.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 47c | 42.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 49c | 39.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bd…5cc4backed No | 49c | 39.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda06…581bbacked Yes | 52c | 34.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed No | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Yes | 51c | 25.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…67a5backed Yes | 52c | 24.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed Yes | 54c | 22.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a36…62b9backed Yes | 52c | 19.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Girona FC vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Girona FC vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.