Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd3075710960d4230cfc7a3063a2e915d4ccb87b8ce38ca1ccc145a9d9798231
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,385 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 16,812$8,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,041.37 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 61c | 5,361$3,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.47 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86bb…54ebbacked Under | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 41c | 4,160$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.68 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -6.7wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf425…be71backed Over | 48c | 2,840$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.23 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…b415backed Over | 62c | 2,560$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 58c | 2,478$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.52 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f9…16fbbacked Under | 37c | 1,868$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 34c | 1,749$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.09 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 38c | 1,592$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.14 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db4…91e2backed Over | 62c | 1,555$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 49c | 1,350$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.52 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 57c | 1,318$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.88 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 1,224$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.08 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 39c | 1,100$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 51c | 980.47$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.43 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 45c | 950$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.5 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 934.98$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.77 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Over | 62c | 910.79$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Over | 57c | 900$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…de94backed Over | 62c | 888$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf131…69cabacked Over | 62c | 712.69$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140d…a937backed Over | 44c | 678.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 62c | 624.99$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 62c | 532.34$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.34 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 25c | 443$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.25 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 38c | 438$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.44 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 38c | 427.29$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.37 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 61c | 419.67$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.67 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 48c | 401.49$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.77 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Over | 21c | 399.94$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.95 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 51c | 394.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.72 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4b…f7d2backed Under | 11c | 360$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…9041backed Over | 58c | 336.21$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 62c | 322.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.66 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Under | 37c | 322$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.14 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb16…d583backed Over | 61c | 303.87$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 37c | 289.85$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 63c | 278.02$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.02 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 39c | 249.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 39c | 249.21$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 59c | 237.36$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.36 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 59c | 230$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 44c | 228.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.4 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 68c | 225.42$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.26 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 63c | 224.55$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed Under | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 38c | 183.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c4…48e3backed Under | 11c | 180$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 37c | 167$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 42c | 161.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.98 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +12.1wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +73%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 62c | 161.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…08d0backed Under | 40c | 140$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 54c | 140$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.03 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05af…e9bfbacked Under | 40c | 136$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 62c | 129$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 56c | 123.21$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 61c | 122.69$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d8…3d22backed Under | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cd…6362backed Under | 40c | 118$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Over | 43c | 105.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 103.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 52c | 102.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa86c…564dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 56c | 97.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 120 | 69.2%83 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 53c | 86.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbf…06d3backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 62c | 80.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 63c | 75.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 61c | 72.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Under | 51c | 72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 63c | 71.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 45c | 70.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…ffddbacked Over | 60c | 67.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 38c | 63.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…00a1backed Under | 39c | 60.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed Under | 65c | 59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…06e3backed Over | 60c | 59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Over | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 60c | 54.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…f53abacked Over | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…099bbacked Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5this page
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5Over won
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-2.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)1. FSV Mainz 05 won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)1. FSV Mainz 05 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.