TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,615
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,181

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,615 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Over49c6,373$3,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,122.912664.3%81 W · 45 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x509d…0a6bbacked Under51c4,888$2,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,395.1167056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Under51c2,858$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.331,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under51c1,296$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.271,80251.2%923 W · 879 L+53.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Under50c1,120$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.991,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Over48c1,025$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.441,23249.4%609 W · 623 L+13.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.0421154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49057945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Over49c899$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.5164943.1%280 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under64c857.65$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.551,18166%780 W · 401 L+70.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Over50c591.7$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.8563458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under51c560$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.435243.2%152 W · 200 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Under51c491$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.5928843.8%126 W · 162 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over49c404.67$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2930255.6%168 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb78f…f743backed Under52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.62922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-56%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa467…587dbacked Under57c289.47$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.471752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under51c253.87$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7914338.5%55 W · 88 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2366…580fbacked Over28c199.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over43c187.92$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.811,41243.8%618 W · 794 L-3.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked Over49c172.64$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5910945.9%50 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4967…4292backed Over49c170$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.330231.1%94 W · 208 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over44c159.09$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7021946.6%102 W · 117 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef60…d6c2backed Over49c143$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.074266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Under62c133.34$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3927447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Over50c116$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5825154.2%136 W · 115 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034960.7%212 W · 137 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x599a…ba90backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496144.3%27 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d46…b09bbacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499160.4%55 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a8c…1991backed Under52c99.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4833254.2%180 W · 152 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2110…306fbacked Under51c99.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9919561.5%120 W · 75 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over26c97.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.333,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2afc…997cbacked Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1528647.9%137 W · 149 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d7…dacfbacked Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028965.1%188 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Over49c92.7$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9936647.3%173 W · 193 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Under51c90$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.11,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over48c86.61$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.982,54039.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L-79.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over19c86.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.622,70735.9%972 W · 1,735 L-152.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Under73c86.17$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2175942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a35…6fe0backed Over36c85.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2133642.3%142 W · 194 L-1.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under49c84.14$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.931,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over14c82.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.552,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Under57c81.65$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.115160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe037…8a91backed Over49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012741.7%53 W · 74 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over49c62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3853649.8%267 W · 269 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Under77c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7139859.8%238 W · 160 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x143c…88b9backed Under51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8227848.2%134 W · 144 L-11.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1276…0845backed Over50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over45c56.48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5782836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf759…644dbacked Over50c52.38$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.194252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf245…746bbacked Under51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.523855.9%133 W · 105 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514650.7%74 W · 72 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed Under50c47.31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.587646.1%35 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa717…3bbebacked Over48c45.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0712849.2%63 W · 65 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over24c40.84$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108042.5%34 W · 46 L-13.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-27.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd5d6…8267backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207152.1%37 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.72,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8822…2cf8backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202962.1%18 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under51c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1111048.2%53 W · 57 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3493…40afbacked Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4634565.5%226 W · 119 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xccd7…f491backed Under77c36.8$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4942246.4%196 W · 226 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Over28c36.02$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2225737%95 W · 162 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over45c31.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9834834.2%119 W · 229 L-39.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-42.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over49c29.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5466558.8%391 W · 274 L-37.4wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under56c29.58$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.021,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26c7…264fbacked Over50c29.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5528040%112 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb700…5a62backed Over49c28.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.139857.1%56 W · 42 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under62c28.72$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8475150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8e4e…8f3ebacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107349.3%36 W · 37 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Under77c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9110749.5%53 W · 54 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.