Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40e5d71bd0244aa2da37fc8a263c44fcd960ae7585b75f8a70026293d35b3dde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 58c | 7,502$4,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,351.4 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 41c | 5,712$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,374.93 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 42c | 2,570$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.75 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Over | 42c | 2,205$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.9 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 59c | 1,291$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.71 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Over | 40c | 989.7$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.7 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56f…6ea8backed Over | 40c | 842.75$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Over | 40c | 792.5$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.5 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 58c | 736.59$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.85 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…c58ebacked Over | 42c | 578.6$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.59 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Over | 40c | 407.5$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.5 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127b…d23cbacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…60cfbacked Over | 42c | 209.52$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.52 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 42c | 203.54$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.05 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Over | 41c | 197.26$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.6 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…0650backed Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa467…587dbacked Over | 42c | 147.62$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.62 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Over | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 40c | 104.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.53 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e8…9826backed Over | 41c | 60.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…8d7dbacked Over | 42c | 52.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 42c | 41.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked Over | 77c | 33.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +4.9wins | +0.31per pick | 63cpaid | +427.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 58c | 24.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 32.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.