TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UC Irvine Anteaters vs. Cal Poly Mustangs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cal Poly Mustangsof UC Irvine Anteaters, Cal Poly Mustangs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,217
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,750

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,217 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xea22…747abacked UC Irvine Anteaters0c21,906$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4124121.2%51 W · 190 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+299%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cal Poly Mustangs41c15,680$6,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,285.185,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed UC Irvine Anteaters71c13,969$9,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,9181,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed UC Irvine Anteaters30c7,983$2,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,383.731,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed UC Irvine Anteaters51c3,769$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,908.143,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed UC Irvine Anteaters17c2,656$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.472,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UC Irvine Anteaters41c1,784$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.381,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cal Poly Mustangs51c1,749$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.584,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Cal Poly Mustangs29c1,680$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.021,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked UC Irvine Anteaters42c1,680$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.4425246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed UC Irvine Anteaters18c1,491$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.142,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cal Poly Mustangs29c1,446$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.392,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cal Poly Mustangs29c1,374$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.3212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Cal Poly Mustangs53c1,352$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.821,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Cal Poly Mustangs30c924.71$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.1999848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed UC Irvine Anteaters48c890.57$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.52540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd2…8414backed UC Irvine Anteaters70c800$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e50…1efebacked Cal Poly Mustangs30c800$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Cal Poly Mustangs54c767.69$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.4925337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Cal Poly Mustangs61c752.82$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.943,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f86…8ad6backed UC Irvine Anteaters1c676.24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed UC Irvine Anteaters62c634.77$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.340%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed UC Irvine Anteaters56c610.18$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Cal Poly Mustangs57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.666743.3%29 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed UC Irvine Anteaters63c575.28$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.8268254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked UC Irvine Anteaters54c559.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed UC Irvine Anteaters54c540$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.8616350.9%83 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed UC Irvine Anteaters69c533.99$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.452,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Cal Poly Mustangs30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35081453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Cal Poly Mustangs32c446.12$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.913,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Cal Poly Mustangs29c430$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.391848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked UC Irvine Anteaters70c428.22$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.7537142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Cal Poly Mustangs33c403.71$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.872,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked UC Irvine Anteaters55c400.5$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22015447.4%73 W · 81 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Cal Poly Mustangs65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14043450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed UC Irvine Anteaters62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.8314354.5%78 W · 65 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc5…7708backed UC Irvine Anteaters55c363.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011028.2%31 W · 79 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Cal Poly Mustangs50c309.76$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.764,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed UC Irvine Anteaters17c298.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023941.4%99 W · 140 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Cal Poly Mustangs31c280$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.282048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cal Poly Mustangs23c246.56$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.791,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked UC Irvine Anteaters54c246$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.841,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed UC Irvine Anteaters45c220.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.032,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Cal Poly Mustangs49c206.25$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.195349.1%26 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Cal Poly Mustangs30c200.43$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.922,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeeb…b5ddbacked UC Irvine Anteaters59c181.98$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Cal Poly Mustangs24c177.12$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.161,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31d7…42c1backed Cal Poly Mustangs43c170.77$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.347247.2%34 W · 38 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Cal Poly Mustangs31c164.52$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5225049.2%123 W · 127 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa61b…e7babacked UC Irvine Anteaters59c157.65$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.63742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Cal Poly Mustangs31c146.61$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8294036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked UC Irvine Anteaters69c144.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.994,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed UC Irvine Anteaters71c144.24$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.417746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked UC Irvine Anteaters73c122$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.391,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb6…ff78backed Cal Poly Mustangs48c111.83$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.23977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cal Poly Mustangs40c109.31$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.061,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa005…6646backed UC Irvine Anteaters28c104$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3512540.8%51 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed UC Irvine Anteaters71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715052%26 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Cal Poly Mustangs41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5942934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Cal Poly Mustangs25c95.83$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2599045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Cal Poly Mustangs51c92$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4319138.2%73 W · 118 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Cal Poly Mustangs40c82.57$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7770349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Cal Poly Mustangs23c80.44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9438645.9%177 W · 209 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed UC Irvine Anteaters71c79.51$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4593447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b1…3c7cbacked UC Irvine Anteaters64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid+5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked UC Irvine Anteaters26c69.36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.338347%39 W · 44 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Cal Poly Mustangs31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.52837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+50.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7a7…0275backed Cal Poly Mustangs57c57.98$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.93366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Cal Poly Mustangs29c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.589146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed UC Irvine Anteaters56c49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2236942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Cal Poly Mustangs56c45.71$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0527358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4324…1390backed UC Irvine Anteaters56c45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.26154.1%33 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed UC Irvine Anteaters68c43.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7685…d406backed Cal Poly Mustangs49c40.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.711020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-60.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3c7…2b66backed UC Irvine Anteaters58c34.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed UC Irvine Anteaters71c34.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.325,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked UC Irvine Anteaters47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157250%36 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed UC Irvine Anteaters35c28.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.111,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0303…1770backed Cal Poly Mustangs67c26.12$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.57862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…ebfabacked Cal Poly Mustangs67c24.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.15580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53b9…292abacked UC Irvine Anteaters74c24.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick72cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed UC Irvine Anteaters55c20.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.31,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed UC Irvine Anteaters72c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.452353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58e0…be18backed UC Irvine Anteaters69c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.88664%55 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.