Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UC Davis Aggies vs. California-San Diego Tritons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b469c240c6ef329852df742abd8432a65a54db5a2c8c2ff303239214798a05a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- California-San Diego Tritonsof UC Davis Aggies, California-San Diego Tritons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked UC Davis Aggies | 23c | 2,651$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 68c | 1,353$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.93 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…e7babacked UC Davis Aggies | 2c | 1,043$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked UC Davis Aggies | 32c | 863$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.53 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked UC Davis Aggies | 30c | 677$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.1 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 69c | 619.57$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.43 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed California-San Diego Tritons | 68c | 500.14$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.04 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed California-San Diego Tritons | 70c | 402.14$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.92 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed UC Davis Aggies | 30c | 401$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.3 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UC Davis Aggies | 31c | 395.84$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 69c | 345.94$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.33 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UC Davis Aggies | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed UC Davis Aggies | 31c | 315$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked UC Davis Aggies | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed California-San Diego Tritons | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UC Davis Aggies | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed UC Davis Aggies | 37c | 168$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed UC Davis Aggies | 35c | 166.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 77c | 160.66$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed UC Davis Aggies | 31c | 139.54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked UC Davis Aggies | 33c | 138$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed UC Davis Aggies | 30c | 115.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed California-San Diego Tritons | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UC Davis Aggies | 36c | 98.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed UC Davis Aggies | 31c | 80.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed California-San Diego Tritons | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3a…752fbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 71c | 73.1$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed California-San Diego Tritons | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 48 | 77.1%37 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed UC Davis Aggies | 32c | 62.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…be18backed California-San Diego Tritons | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed UC Davis Aggies | 33c | 46.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 67c | 45.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed California-San Diego Tritons | 74c | 43.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 66c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed California-San Diego Tritons | 75c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…2022backed California-San Diego Tritons | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed California-San Diego Tritons | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UC Davis Aggies vs. California-San Diego Tritonsthis page
- Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-4.5)California-San Diego Tritons won
- Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-5.5)California-San Diego Tritons won
- Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-6.5)California-San Diego Tritons won
- UC Davis Aggies vs. California-San Diego Tritons: O/U 149.5Under won
- UC Davis Aggies vs. California-San Diego Tritons: O/U 150.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.