TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$127,487
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,863

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,487 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x777d…5143backed Over47c38,146$17,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,928.488856.8%50 W · 38 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over0c26,836$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.821,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under53c22,260$11,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,495.0532451.9%168 W · 156 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,70047953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80060451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Over49c8,529$4,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,171.912556%14 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under52c7,191$3,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,451.772,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under52c6,999$3,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,358.44,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Under53c6,538$3,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,072.7416947.9%81 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc1…b33cbacked Under62c4,444$2,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,690.3826257.3%150 W · 112 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92021748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a6…c8d3backed Under62c3,772$2,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.749350.5%47 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over38c3,440$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.1111,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under52c3,178$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.241,07848.1%518 W · 560 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c3,176$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.1512,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over48c3,100$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48839047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over0c2,433$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.151,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Under51c2,127$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.4221550.2%108 W · 107 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over47c1,891$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.9959549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under52c1,879$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.812,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Over48c1,827$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8778053.8%43 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under67c1,672$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.862,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c1,574$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.585,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70545451.3%233 W · 221 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under53c1,120$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.41,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under52c910.07$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.91,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over31c900$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27919934.2%68 W · 131 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c799.98$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.776,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf01a…cc6abacked Over48c671.08$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.121050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under53c590$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.392554.1%500 W · 425 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over48c520.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,02658.1%596 W · 430 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Over48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under52c411$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.2875049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19285952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under60c380.17$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.789,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over47c364.89$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.525249.6%125 W · 127 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under66c339$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.544,08757.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L+66.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under52c330.31$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.366,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under40c328.5$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.21,19429%346 W · 848 L-0.9wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under51c323.85$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.691,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8001…c76fbacked Over48c311$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.285657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under72c296.26$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.21,87452%975 W · 899 L+51.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over42c267.5$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.355,14954.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L+231.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12078550.2%394 W · 391 L+2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under44c245.23$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.296,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under53c237$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.391,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bac…0d22backed Over42c234.63$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Under53c220.75$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7512852.3%67 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc278…a116backed Over48c210.52$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0584840.2%341 W · 507 L-3.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under53c206.68$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.834,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8deb…1ef3backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982544%11 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under52c194.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.591,44550%723 W · 722 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6838455.2%212 W · 172 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28af…7de0backed Over49c175$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.253141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Over48c162.04$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7813152.7%69 W · 62 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over57c149.07$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4110,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over52c125$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6553261.8%329 W · 203 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over33c114.83$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.342241%173 W · 249 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under70c114.54$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.365,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1276…0845backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Under53c103.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7754654.9%300 W · 246 L+12.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4726759.2%158 W · 109 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5278454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Over53c97.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.51850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf375…a60cbacked Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.342138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under52c86$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.281,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x961a…e91cbacked Over48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406956.5%39 W · 30 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under50c80.1$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.751,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf985…bb31backed Over48c78.71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.781353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over35c76.11$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.641,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Over47c72.69$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.421,37454.2%745 W · 629 L+16.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Over50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358848.9%43 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under48c63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7672247.6%344 W · 378 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Under48c63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7649649.8%247 W · 249 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over36c58.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.367742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Under53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.622450.4%113 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over27c55.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.212,54645.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L-74.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Over36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018444%81 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over37c53.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.551,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed Under53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.555953.1%297 W · 262 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3711…7339backed Over48c49.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.752748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over42c44.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6282551.6%426 W · 399 L+3.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Over34c43.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9913353.4%71 W · 62 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1101…5de1backed Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x398c…b9d8backed Over45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1815138.4%58 W · 93 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2021353.5%114 W · 99 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5622…0111backed Under53c39.42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.53475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6b…8ffabacked Under52c37.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.25154.9%28 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Under52c37.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.219155.5%106 W · 85 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4cb…a917backed Under53c37.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5620751.2%106 W · 101 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd53b…fc94backed Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205367.9%36 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f7…43fdbacked Under61c32.84$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.842969%20 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4512647.6%60 W · 66 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x088d…3516backed Under52c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.921984.2%16 W · 3 L+6.6wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+73.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under47c28.82$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.281,05750.2%531 W · 526 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under54c27.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.523764.9%24 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.