MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77fb7e0cfb206d91d7fe9d63c4b0efec453a5b579f6f97db26bcc391177fbebb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Los Angeles Angels, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 3,110$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.11 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 1,506$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.56 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Los Angeles Angels | 26c | 685.98$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.79 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 636.94$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.51 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Chicago White Sox | 58c | 628$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.45 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 434.27$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.12 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 407.17$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.08 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…a78bbacked Chicago White Sox | 59c | 330.27$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.41 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 33c | 290.91$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 258$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago White Sox | 67c | 249.01$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Los Angeles Angels | 11c | 213$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 63c | 200.16$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.81 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Chicago White Sox | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Chicago White Sox | 67c | 163.48$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 135.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 110$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Los Angeles Angels | 30c | 97.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Los Angeles Angels | 37c | 67.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 59.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x695b…36c8backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 58.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe67…dd7ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 43.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Los Angeles Angels | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Chicago White Sox | 67c | 34.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 29.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 29.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Chicago White Sox | 58c | 27.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 316 | 50.6%160 W · 156 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Chicago White Sox | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Chicago White Sox | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7198…4213backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.