MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e19115bad6a88a3f28d4199712645a62d989e4ce2cb13987f853d12677e1760
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 29c | 1,303$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.19 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Over | 41c | 1,219$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 59c | 993.2$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.21 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 59c | 857.65$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.64 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 41c | 649$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.09 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Under | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 478.14$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.26 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 40c | 422.43$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.74 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 71c | 342.76$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.72 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 59c | 317$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.97 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 77c | 312$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 37c | 284.4$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 63c | 269.84$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 37c | 265.49$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.33 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 17c | 186.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 54c | 130.89$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 61c | 70.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Over | 63c | 66.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 38c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 30c | 63.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 1,374 | 54.2%745 W · 629 L | +16.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 19c | 53.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 43c | 33.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 41c | 31.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…43fdbacked Under | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 70c | 28.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 41c | 25.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Over | 45c | 23.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 59c | 23.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 55c | 20.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Under | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.