MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68dde52cf609a40050d5ff8286cbe887d33a06bc514c1ed27b5eefe66f9df6b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Under | 55c | 4,551$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 3,155$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.48 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 54c | 2,235$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.69 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 55c | 1,038$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.6 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 46c | 874.52$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.24 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 850.83$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.69 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 46c | 653$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.62 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 45c | 517.72$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.75 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 462.65$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 66c | 424.45$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.98 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…13aebacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 46c | 409.41$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.99 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 52c | 399.97$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.98 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080b…27a6backed Under | 48c | 399.5$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.63 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 60c | 354.6$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.56 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Over | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 48c | 297.94$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.56 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 52c | 243.24$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.48 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 53c | 228.54$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.13 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 54c | 223$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.58 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…3741backed Over | 48c | 197.92$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.92 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 63c | 185.18$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.96 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 32c | 163.94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.94 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Over | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 54c | 146$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 23c | 128.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.35 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 47c | 106$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 54c | 102.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 52c | 99.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 20c | 99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 54c | 96.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…4ee0backed Over | 63c | 79.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 54c | 74.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 55c | 69.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6123…8b33backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 47c | 49.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 63c | 46.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 57c | 45.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Over | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Over | 47c | 42.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Over | 46c | 42.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 105 | 59%62 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 32c | 40.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Over | 60c | 36.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 53c | 35.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 48c | 30.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…2c05backed Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 66c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Over | 67c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 209 | 62.7%131 W · 78 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…e409backed Over | 47c | 27.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 54c | 27.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 26.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 54c | 24.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 54c | 23.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…fe3fbacked Over | 66c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f0…e7b3backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3250…60fabacked Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 12.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.