TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chicago White Soxof Atlanta Braves, Chicago White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,477
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,814

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,477 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8b88…8f33backed Atlanta Braves48c11,091$5,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,323.9244851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves49c7,411$3,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,623.494,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Atlanta Braves49c6,154$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00024344.4%108 W · 135 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Chicago White Sox51c5,969$3,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,924.9323948.5%116 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago White Sox52c4,313$2,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,070.324,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox48c4,224$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,184.1712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Chicago White Sox52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44044749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox51c2,227$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.145,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad64…2f33backed Atlanta Braves48c2,084$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.286429.7%19 W · 45 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Chicago White Sox52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.892,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Chicago White Sox52c1,667$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.161,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox49c1,603$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.7711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Chicago White Sox52c1,264$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.163,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Chicago White Sox52c1,073$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1491252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Atlanta Braves47c1,072$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.674837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Chicago White Sox51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Atlanta Braves49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013851.4%71 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3926,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Atlanta Braves49c567.31$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.9813354.9%73 W · 60 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Chicago White Sox52c525.62$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.6121550.2%108 W · 107 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox59c518.65$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.149,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f1…dcbebacked Chicago White Sox52c508.67$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.16966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Chicago White Sox51c486.41$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.5189053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Atlanta Braves48c451.47$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.942,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Atlanta Braves48c420$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.648354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Chicago White Sox75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10087750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Chicago White Sox45c396$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.681,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves37c381.59$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.7310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves57c365.51$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.558,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Atlanta Braves56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036440.1%146 W · 218 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Chicago White Sox53c276$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.722,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Atlanta Braves25c275.02$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.958,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Atlanta Braves47c265$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.5524350.2%122 W · 121 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Chicago White Sox40c244.85$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.913,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Atlanta Braves48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Chicago White Sox47c208.28$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.066,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Chicago White Sox51c200.33$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.081,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Atlanta Braves29c193$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.14,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox52c179.38$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.18,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Chicago White Sox49c169.31$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.542,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Chicago White Sox76c156$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.145,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Chicago White Sox53c150.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9466551.1%340 W · 325 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Atlanta Braves54c138.39$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1450748.7%247 W · 260 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea6e…7c46backed Chicago White Sox53c132.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0867449.4%333 W · 341 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Chicago White Sox53c128.3$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.313351.9%69 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed Atlanta Braves51c127.45$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Chicago White Sox52c125.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4812350.4%62 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Chicago White Sox52c125$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6032850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Atlanta Braves48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Chicago White Sox52c120.87$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9813441%55 W · 79 L-12.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Chicago White Sox52c101.73$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8312352.8%65 W · 58 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Atlanta Braves48c99.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9469547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Atlanta Braves42c84.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.735248%169 W · 183 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Chicago White Sox52c84.62$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.623,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Chicago White Sox52c84.62$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6231250%156 W · 156 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x974d…bd82backed Atlanta Braves48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Chicago White Sox70c83$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.133,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Chicago White Sox51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.21,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Chicago White Sox52c79$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9272648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Chicago White Sox53c75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2547848.5%232 W · 246 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacee…afddbacked Chicago White Sox40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4521751.6%112 W · 105 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Atlanta Braves63c70.68$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.373,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Chicago White Sox52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3147549.7%236 W · 239 L+17.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Chicago White Sox45c65.11$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.812,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25c1…7e8ebacked Chicago White Sox53c63.42$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8119654.1%106 W · 90 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Chicago White Sox45c62.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6146952.5%246 W · 223 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Atlanta Braves48c60.29$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.942,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Atlanta Braves43c58.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.255,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Chicago White Sox52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.691,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbebc…095fbacked Chicago White Sox40c57.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.442951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Chicago White Sox51c51.04$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0110559%62 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5efd…a583backed Chicago White Sox52c50.87$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.421163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Chicago White Sox52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2427646.7%129 W · 147 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Atlanta Braves48c49.96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.982,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5965…d26dbacked Atlanta Braves47c44.32$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9316450.6%83 W · 81 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Braves38c42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.965,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Chicago White Sox53c42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.661,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Chicago White Sox52c41.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2099447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eb6…d381backed Atlanta Braves48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204035%14 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc98a…5da6backed Chicago White Sox52c41.6$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.973551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Chicago White Sox32c40$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.277836%280 W · 498 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed Atlanta Braves48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.281651.8%423 W · 393 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Atlanta Braves34c34.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.742,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Atlanta Braves41c34.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.171,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e80…416dbacked Atlanta Braves63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Chicago White Sox40c30.7$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4230048%144 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Chicago White Sox56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0783…00d3backed Atlanta Braves52c27.59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.361662.5%10 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Chicago White Sox53c27.52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9344347.9%212 W · 231 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Chicago White Sox52c26.92$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9289950.6%455 W · 444 L-24.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda54…b8a1backed Chicago White Sox58c26.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0128456.7%161 W · 123 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Atlanta Braves47c24.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.431,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Chicago White Sox52c23.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5270546.8%330 W · 375 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves49c21.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.464,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Chicago White Sox52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.655643.9%244 W · 312 L-38.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Chicago White Sox71c14.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2130340.6%123 W · 180 L-16.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.