South American Leagues · resolved market
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce6c76fe23b0626045cb80bedf85038bd5725d57d7e2348f2580e55230061a32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 58c | 18,962$10,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,990.31 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 11,214$4,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,515.98 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 5,305$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.52 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…2732backed Over | 60c | 3,262$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.81 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Under | 42c | 2,404$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.21 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 2,227$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.11 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 57c | 1,611$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.32 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 42c | 797.47$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.24 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 47c | 775.58$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.8 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 42c | 602.25$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.01 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over | 57c | 534.94$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.91 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 74c | 483$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.42 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 40c | 438$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.8 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 42c | 315.62$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.06 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 44c | 300$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 36c | 262.6$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.05 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Under | 42c | 257.12$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.13 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bda…28eabacked Over | 59c | 247.98$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 42c | 234.41$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.84 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 42c | 216.09$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.33 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 45c | 215.11$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.41 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 40c | 200$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 49c | 197.82$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172b…e2cdbacked Under | 79c | 169.81$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 42c | 162.41$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.2 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…4213backed Under | 62c | 161.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 42c | 160.87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.3 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 37c | 157.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.25 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 42c | 149.61$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.77 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 42c | 138.87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.55 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 42c | 121.75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.62 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…cc2ebacked Under | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a1…8501backed Under | 34c | 108.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 71c | 103.82$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x895c…d405backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…0504backed Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 59c | 97.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d4…5847backed Under | 42c | 91.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 41c | 90$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 89.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87df…48f3backed Under | 68c | 80.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc897…f3b3backed Over | 51c | 79.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 63c | 77.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…f7a9backed Over | 59c | 74.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 39c | 65.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 46c | 59.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 39c | 54.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 50.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 65c | 43.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 42c | 36.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…a7fdbacked Under | 42c | 34.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 62c | 31.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 43c | 29.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 51c | 26.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 49c | 26.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…0cb2backed Under | 43c | 25.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf076…4079backed Under | 43c | 24.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Under | 42c | 24.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 61c | 23.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…e568backed Over | 58c | 21.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5this page
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-2.5)Estudiantes de La Plata won
- Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-1.5)CA San Lorenzo de Almagro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.