South American Leagues · resolved market
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50cfb91c8bc0a108d0b9742529f7783470a822404973e45ced21b8f3d3b325e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 3,677$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.98 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 29c | 3,440$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.59 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 30c | 2,889$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.61 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 70c | 2,251$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.83 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 19c | 1,001$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.28 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 30c | 842.28$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.48 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 71c | 835.11$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.84 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 70c | 425.21$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.56 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 66c | 415.94$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.88 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 71c | 398.35$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.52 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 57c | 255.04$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.88 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 66c | 233.32$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bda…28eabacked Over | 38c | 219.77$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 66c | 213.51$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.44 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 71c | 181.86$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 53c | 150.94$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 69c | 148.75$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Over | 57c | 147.4$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 39c | 136.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Over | 36c | 133.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 71c | 117.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Over | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 71c | 97.65$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 29c | 92.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 30c | 88.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 71c | 83.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 47c | 82.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 70c | 81.51$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Under | 70c | 81.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Over | 57c | 79.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 55c | 77.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Under | 61c | 73.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 57c | 73.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Over | 57c | 70.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…cc2ebacked Under | 72c | 68.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 70c | 67.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…cccabacked Over | 42c | 62.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 26c | 58.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Over | 57c | 58.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 53c | 58.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 53c | 58.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 53c | 58.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 53c | 58.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 30c | 53.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02e7…2519backed Under | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 30c | 50.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Over | 56c | 49.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 62 | 74.2%46 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 29c | 47.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…21f7backed Under | 72c | 47.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 30c | 47.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked Under | 46c | 47.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Over | 57c | 45.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 43c | 44.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed Over | 56c | 44.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Over | 57c | 40.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 71c | 34.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 63c | 27.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17a1…8501backed Under | 72c | 19.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Under | 68c | 19.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 70c | 15.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked Under | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 78c | 13.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5this page
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-2.5)Estudiantes de La Plata won
- Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-1.5)CA San Lorenzo de Almagro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.