South American Leagues · resolved market
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x647ca96516bf57125b41f8ae16d938a238dad68e01a9f8ab70665dc47101bed5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 2,289$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.33 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 14c | 1,039$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.97 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 56c | 524.62$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.02 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 43c | 260.77$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.13 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Yes | 59c | 233.71$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.89 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…15c5backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed Yes | 59c | 169.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 57c | 132.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 55c | 105.47$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Yes | 43c | 101.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 37c | 81.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Yes | 60c | 81.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…cc2ebacked No | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02e7…2519backed No | 41c | 70.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17a1…8501backed No | 54c | 67.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 43c | 58.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-2.5)Estudiantes de La Plata won
- Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-1.5)CA San Lorenzo de Almagro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.