CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs Akimbo Esports (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19852920813aeefd3ee8e4c4b06b4086e7d5c23305eeda8d3656f59c56da3679
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FarmVilleof FarmVille, Akimbo Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FarmVille | 71c | 1,845$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.11 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Akimbo Esports | 32c | 426.56$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.87 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Akimbo Esports | 38c | 374.8$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.66 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Akimbo Esports | 10c | 366.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Akimbo Esports | 29c | 284.67$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FarmVille | 68c | 249.6$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.94 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Akimbo Esports | 32c | 239$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.49 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Akimbo Esports | 15c | 210.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed FarmVille | 68c | 196.62$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Akimbo Esports | 22c | 188.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed FarmVille | 54c | 167.39$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.96 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Akimbo Esports | 13c | 162.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Akimbo Esports | 22c | 117.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Akimbo Esports | 17c | 102.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Akimbo Esports | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 84 | 13.1%11 W · 73 L | -13.9wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked FarmVille | 46c | 79.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed FarmVille | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked FarmVille | 75c | 65.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed Akimbo Esports | 31c | 61.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…a15abacked Akimbo Esports | 54c | 58.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8a…89e9backed Akimbo Esports | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Akimbo Esports | 41c | 38.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…522fbacked Akimbo Esports | 41c | 28.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7e…d68fbacked Akimbo Esports | 54c | 26.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed FarmVille | 55c | 24.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked FarmVille | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked FarmVille | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs Akimbo Esports (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs Akimbo Esports - Map 1 WinnerFarmVille won
- Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs Akimbo Esports - Map 2 WinnerFarmVille won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.