CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs Akimbo Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dd8c254f00778d7d70e1d7e150c4076123df2fd1cd9fc92d97f16c15f768ac9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FarmVilleof FarmVille, Akimbo Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Akimbo Esports | 42c | 1,511$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.84 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Akimbo Esports | 40c | 1,105$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.47 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FarmVille | 72c | 917.68$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.87 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe100…4d41backed FarmVille | 63c | 827.01$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e64…284bbacked FarmVille | 60c | 813.55$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.51 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Akimbo Esports | 30c | 445.55$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.1 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FarmVille | 72c | 260$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Akimbo Esports | 32c | 163.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Akimbo Esports | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Akimbo Esports | 41c | 130.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 530 | 55.5%294 W · 236 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed Akimbo Esports | 13c | 130.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Akimbo Esports | 28c | 105.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed FarmVille | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Akimbo Esports | 25c | 67.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 681 | 72.2%492 W · 189 L | +120.9wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Akimbo Esports | 30c | 63.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Akimbo Esports | 27c | 53.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Akimbo Esports | 47c | 40.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Akimbo Esports | 45c | 35.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Akimbo Esports | 35c | 31.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed FarmVille | 64c | 30.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 618 | 55%340 W · 278 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs Akimbo Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs Akimbo Esports (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Group AFarmVille won
- Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs Akimbo Esports - Map 2 WinnerFarmVille won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.