Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-05-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaec66d0410cbec8aef70e929e65486f29465606d7a02f1cd81302e9537e29ecc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 78c | 2,562$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.64 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 1,892$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.23 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37b…63a1backed Yes | 1c | 1,892$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,872$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.12 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x94ee…9e92backed Yes | 23c | 1,532$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 1,480$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.18 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 22c | 1,226$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.77 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 77c | 1,073$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 14c | 973.73$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.82 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 22c | 885.27$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.76 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Yes | 22c | 830.14$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.63 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 23c | 727.09$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.33 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 5c | 666.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Yes | 4c | 467.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 6c | 407.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 6c | 299$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47d1…7618backed No | 78c | 282.05$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.05 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Yes | 22c | 250.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 23c | 221.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…604abacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 22c | 177.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 151.48$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 76c | 141.67$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6927…21adbacked No | 78c | 141.03$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…c775backed Yes | 24c | 140$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…bc86backed No | 79c | 139.24$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 77cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…8230backed No | 79c | 127.85$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…84e4backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 78c | 120.03$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ed…467abacked Yes | 23c | 114.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked No | 79c | 102.56$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 77c | 95.24$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 23c | 85.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 24c | 82.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f27…d00abacked Yes | 24c | 67.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 62.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 78c | 44.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 79c | 32.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 78c | 32.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 78c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 78c | 20.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…2241backed No | 78c | 18.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 79c | 14.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-05-15?this page
- Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-05-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.