Asian League · resolved market
Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x827084e47cff6b56922a864caeb2882883367ad29919e8484cc67a61fb3443cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 27c | 3,743$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.16 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 73c | 2,097$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.05 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 19c | 1,653$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.98 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 1,569$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.83 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 24c | 1,125$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.08 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 1,117$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.71 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 20c | 930$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 860.98$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.37 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 73c | 656.64$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.03 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 564.49$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.57 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 73c | 304$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 75c | 278.01$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.95 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94ee…9e92backed Yes | 28c | 266.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Yes | 20c | 190.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 151.47$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 74c | 149.96$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 17c | 147$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 137.93$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 19c | 126$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 72c | 119.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 26c | 117.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 72c | 111$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 12c | 107.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 16c | 103.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 73c | 99.97$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…806ebacked Yes | 16c | 69.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes | 28c | 52.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 27c | 51.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 72c | 49.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked No | 73c | 49.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -8.8wins | -0.28per pick | 59cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Yes | 26c | 45.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Yes | 26c | 45.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…c5e1backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…b240backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-05-15?No won
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-05-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.