Tennis · resolved market
Mexico City: Andres Martin vs Stefano Napolitano
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69a0ff59ea7ec7141c0eac8a93485b3ef5e5d06e29569ab6780d745feec04bb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stefano Napolitanoof Andres Martin, Stefano Napolitano
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Andres Martin | 10c | 3,704$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.94 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…bed2backed Andres Martin | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Stefano Napolitano | 77c | 1,991$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.31 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Andres Martin | 17c | 1,220$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.6 | 272 | 47.4%129 W · 143 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…468bbacked Andres Martin | 27c | 1,202$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.71 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Andres Martin | 17c | 1,144$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.35 | 348 | 47.1%164 W · 184 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Andres Martin | 15c | 1,119$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.79 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Andres Martin | 26c | 1,011$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.13 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…60ddbacked Stefano Napolitano | 79c | 999.99$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Andres Martin | 17c | 749.22$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.96 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stefano Napolitano | 79c | 688.23$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Andres Martin | 18c | 602.77$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.83 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…62dcbacked Andres Martin | 26c | 584.39$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.94 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Andres Martin | 14c | 528.07$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Andres Martin | 24c | 400.64$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.43 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Andres Martin | 29c | 369$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Andres Martin | 12c | 344.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Andres Martin | 15c | 318.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Andres Martin | 25c | 299.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Andres Martin | 11c | 295.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 308 | 44.5%137 W · 171 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…41a3backed Andres Martin | 16c | 276.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Stefano Napolitano | 75c | 262.92$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.93 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Stefano Napolitano | 74c | 262.7$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 262 | 54.6%143 W · 119 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Andres Martin | 4c | 260.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 246 | 38.2%94 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Andres Martin | 15c | 252.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Andres Martin | 23c | 215.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84bd…34d0backed Andres Martin | 26c | 183.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Andres Martin | 16c | 174.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Andres Martin | 25c | 148.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Andres Martin | 27c | 141.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 346 | 37.9%131 W · 215 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Andres Martin | 16c | 114$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Stefano Napolitano | 75c | 111.63$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Stefano Napolitano | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Stefano Napolitano | 75c | 98.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Andres Martin | 18c | 95.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 208 | 36.5%76 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Andres Martin | 27c | 95.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Stefano Napolitano | 74c | 81.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Stefano Napolitano | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec46…714cbacked Andres Martin | 16c | 78.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked Stefano Napolitano | 76c | 78.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Andres Martin | 25c | 61.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 292 | 30.5%89 W · 203 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Stefano Napolitano | 73c | 56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…dfb9backed Andres Martin | 28c | 44.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Stefano Napolitano | 76c | 36.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ea…d849backed Stefano Napolitano | 75c | 36.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 163 | 70.6%115 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…2e36backed Stefano Napolitano | 73c | 34.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 147 | 72.8%107 W · 40 L | +19.7wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7a…2488backed Stefano Napolitano | 76c | 31.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Stefano Napolitano | 75c | 31.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | +27.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Stefano Napolitano | 74c | 24.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.