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Europa Conference League · resolved market

Connah's Quay Nomads FC vs. FC Ballkani: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,797
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,301

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,797 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8d06…7910backed Over58c100,000$57,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,513.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under42c47,236$20,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,211.783,24742.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L+4.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Under58c7,274$4,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,026.1311457%65 W · 49 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under42c6,658$2,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,850.742,73840.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under44c5,528$2,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,116.038749.4%43 W · 44 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Under42c4,717$1,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,735.699550.5%48 W · 47 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under42c4,587$1,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,660.4416047.5%76 W · 84 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,74010655.7%59 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under51c1,498$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.961,22245.3%553 W · 669 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ef5…fc37backed Under46c1,439$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+116.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Under45c1,389$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.7710054%54 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under42c1,200$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6965954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb2…5c04backed Over2c1,200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20472.1%1 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick2cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under42c1,190$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.4814245.8%65 W · 77 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under42c1,104$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.327855.1%43 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over34c1,069$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.131,89538.7%734 W · 1,161 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under42c1,050$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6094761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58018845.2%85 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under46c939.13$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.221,04148%500 W · 541 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under42c900$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5229051.1%46 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under43c758$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.141245.6%188 W · 224 L+25.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under43c581$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.1789648.2%432 W · 464 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under43c581$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.171,20047.4%569 W · 631 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under43c581$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.171,31950.8%670 W · 649 L+33.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under42c493$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.9420646.1%95 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over43c476.91$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.0815628.2%44 W · 112 L-15.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-33.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under42c456$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.485356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08fb…8b8bbacked Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Under45c405$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.751361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under43c400.96$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.071,10445.4%501 W · 603 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over51c342.28$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1763745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1746660.6%40 W · 26 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1747959.5%47 W · 32 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17415558.1%90 W · 65 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1747758.4%45 W · 32 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under42c294$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.526159%36 W · 25 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Under42c293.65$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.314663%29 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under42c288$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.046361.9%39 W · 24 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under47c277.25$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.949658.3%56 W · 40 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under52c267.13$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.772,79534.8%973 W · 1,822 L-86.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b5d…7501backed Under56c259.21$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.51450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under42c240$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.210956.9%62 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under42c240$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.26726.9%18 W · 49 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under42c240$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.27565.3%49 W · 26 L+9.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under46c222.28$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.032,43437.3%909 W · 1,525 L-9.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under42c218.88$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.953345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Under42c205.63$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.271662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under43c195.58$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.489959.6%59 W · 40 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012242.6%52 W · 70 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over54c185.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.631,21936.3%442 W · 777 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under43c180$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.68955.1%49 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under43c180$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.68956.2%50 W · 39 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under43c180$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.69358.1%54 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Over32c173.74$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.426035%21 W · 39 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over42c158.9$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9363249.1%310 W · 322 L+2.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under42c150$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8710158.4%59 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under42c150$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878955.1%49 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under42c150$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877365.8%48 W · 25 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over33c149.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.535446.9%166 W · 188 L-14.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under42c135.75$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7438855.4%215 W · 173 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under48c128.56$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.618145.9%83 W · 98 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.66259.7%37 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under42c114$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.128154.3%44 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under43c102.06$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1177855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115048%24 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504438.6%17 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Under44c89$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.844540%18 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under45c76.26$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.621,79354.8%983 W · 810 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over55c70.36$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.464537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over44c66.79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.395933.9%20 W · 39 L-8.6wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under42c62.58$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.376356.1%428 W · 335 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over41c61.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0613754%74 W · 63 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over34c55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.747036%169 W · 301 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over54c53.53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6644251.6%228 W · 214 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Under43c49$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9341343.3%179 W · 234 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under42c45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.114756.5%83 W · 64 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under45c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.238347.8%183 W · 200 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under49c41.01$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.012646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under47c34.64$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3689153.4%476 W · 415 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1527047.4%128 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.72437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Under71c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.833857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under42c26.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.197146.5%33 W · 38 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+34.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under42c24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.925360.4%32 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over52c23.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127227.8%20 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.