Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FC Ballkani (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x257f5ca44c2d7550395a4ec3dcd2c82c49a865d1d25289fdcfdc88eab0affae6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Connah's Quay Nomads FCof FC Ballkani, Connah's Quay Nomads FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed FC Ballkani | 42c | 13,244$5,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,562.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Connah's Quay Nomads FC | 60c | 13,016$7,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,209.91 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Connah's Quay Nomads FC | 54c | 9,060$4,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,167.64 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Connah's Quay Nomads FC | 57c | 4,969$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.63 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FC Ballkani | 19c | 3,727$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.35 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed FC Ballkani | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed FC Ballkani | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed FC Ballkani | 47c | 1,104$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.88 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FC Ballkani | 43c | 1,075$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.42 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed FC Ballkani | 47c | 1,050$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.5 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Ballkani | 29c | 982.59$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.83 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked FC Ballkani | 43c | 978.1$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.58 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed FC Ballkani | 43c | 613.95$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked FC Ballkani | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked FC Ballkani | 46c | 461.53$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.3 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked FC Ballkani | 15c | 460.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed FC Ballkani | 47c | 456$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.32 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed FC Ballkani | 47c | 444.09$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.72 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed FC Ballkani | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked FC Ballkani | 47c | 294$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.18 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed FC Ballkani | 43c | 257.48$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.56 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC Ballkani | 40c | 257.12$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.03 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked FC Ballkani | 47c | 240$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked FC Ballkani | 46c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.83 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked FC Ballkani | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked FC Ballkani | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked FC Ballkani | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8f…25f5backed Connah's Quay Nomads FC | 61c | 164.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed FC Ballkani | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FC Ballkani | 47c | 128.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834f…f38ebacked Connah's Quay Nomads FC | 59c | 127.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FC Ballkani | 39c | 124.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Connah's Quay Nomads FC | 47c | 121.53$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked FC Ballkani | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed FC Ballkani | 44c | 118.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed FC Ballkani | 47c | 115.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Connah's Quay Nomads FC | 62c | 101.61$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed FC Ballkani | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…1999backed FC Ballkani | 24c | 96.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed FC Ballkani | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked FC Ballkani | 40c | 69.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Connah's Quay Nomads FC | 77c | 62.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Connah's Quay Nomads FC | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed FC Ballkani | 48c | 59.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed FC Ballkani | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked FC Ballkani | 43c | 40.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Connah's Quay Nomads FC | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked FC Ballkani | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Connah's Quay Nomads FC | 53c | 22.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Ballkani (-1.5)this page
- Connah's Quay Nomads FC vs. FC Ballkani: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Connah's Quay Nomads FC vs. FC Ballkani: Connah's Quay Nomads FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Connah's Quay Nomads FC vs. FC Ballkani: O/U 0.5Under won
- Connah's Quay Nomads FC vs. FC Ballkani: O/U 1.5Under won
- Connah's Quay Nomads FC vs. FC Ballkani: O/U 2.5Under won
- Connah's Quay Nomads FC vs. FC Ballkani: O/U 3.5Under won
- Connah's Quay Nomads FC vs. FC Ballkani: O/U 4.5Under won
- Connah's Quay Nomads FC vs. FC Ballkani: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Connah's Quay Nomads FC (-1.5)FC Ballkani won
- Spread: Connah's Quay Nomads FC (-2.5)FC Ballkani won
- Spread: FC Ballkani (-2.5)Connah's Quay Nomads FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.