MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d60b24cee872ce672e8863f04e9720ffcf4dac34d53f7a61b437095414e426c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Los Angeles Dodgers, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 4,069$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.93 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 78c | 2,655$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.45 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 1,699$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.87 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 1,693$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.84 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c0…db73backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 1,247$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.67 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Chicago Cubs | 24c | 1,209$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.63 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 1,010$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.16 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 933.91$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.24 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 884.69$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.72 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 20c | 741.44$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.15 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 670.63$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.66 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 639.89$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.61 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 548.46$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.56 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 497$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.77 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Cubs | 69c | 490.7$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.12 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 360$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 309.57$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.79 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Chicago Cubs | 18c | 299.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 29c | 237.7$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.93 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Chicago Cubs | 17c | 224.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.06 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…c3b9backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 217.58$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4beb…bd08backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago Cubs | 68c | 149.08$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.66 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 139.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 17c | 114.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…6c9fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 89.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 80.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 304 | 46.4%141 W · 163 L | -25.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed Chicago Cubs | 16c | 64.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 78c | 63.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 78c | 63.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 17c | 57.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 235 | 22.6%53 W · 182 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Chicago Cubs | 36c | 48.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 46.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…0438backed Chicago Cubs | 77c | 45.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 78cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -10.3wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 43.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 38.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 38.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 33.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 77c | 22.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…9651backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 22.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 335 | 56.1%188 W · 147 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 78c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles DodgersChicago Cubs won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles DodgersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.