Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs MODUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d19a340577636b6e482647f2ec1ab01448ff1f89b420722ef72e947843dba34

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cheeki_Breekiof Cheeki_Breeki, MODUS
Resolved: Apr 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $22,456
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $25,079

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,456 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa35c…a113backed Cheeki_Breeki	61c	1,946$1,196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$749.65	617	45.7%282 W · 335 L	-12.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MODUS	40c	1,163$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.75	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Cheeki_Breeki	69c	923.88$633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290.86	1,702	41.2%701 W · 1,001 L	-44.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed MODUS	48c	880.17$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.76	446	45.7%204 W · 242 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed MODUS	40c	810.8$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328	233	42.9%100 W · 133 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf1…09b7backed MODUS	39c	666.97$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.12	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-5.0wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked MODUS	42c	617.32$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.84	106	18.9%20 W · 86 L	-14.0wins	-0.13per pick	32cpaid	-52%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x312a…66b8backed Cheeki_Breeki	62c	599.99$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231	107	53.3%57 W · 50 L	+8.3wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebf8…7d2bbacked Cheeki_Breeki	62c	566.69$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.34	105	41%43 W · 62 L	-8.5wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Cheeki_Breeki	68c	544.96$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.89	866	59.6%516 W · 350 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93af…32abbacked MODUS	54c	543.71$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.1	107	51.4%55 W · 52 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Cheeki_Breeki	52c	513.49$269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.88	966	45.1%436 W · 530 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed MODUS	38c	488.84$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.76	377	45.4%171 W · 206 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Cheeki_Breeki	43c	349.03$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.69	39	41%16 W · 23 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked MODUS	50c	334.82$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.92	670	43.3%290 W · 380 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Cheeki_Breeki	65c	310$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.5	249	55.4%138 W · 111 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9c…4772backed MODUS	35c	295.03$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.26	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed MODUS	38c	254.76$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.61	340	51.5%175 W · 165 L	+11.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2b6…748cbacked MODUS	65c	219.92$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.78	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	67cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed MODUS	39c	219.85$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.74	189	54%102 W · 87 L	+7.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked MODUS	23c	218.96$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.36	1,275	33.5%427 W · 848 L	-15.6wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Cheeki_Breeki	62c	215$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.75	1,272	45%572 W · 700 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfca0…c2a4backed MODUS	74c	208.22$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.96	15	86.7%13 W · 2 L	+3.4wins	+0.23per pick	64cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed Cheeki_Breeki	56c	153.34$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.47	150	64.7%97 W · 53 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1036…6c9fbacked Cheeki_Breeki	67c	146.3$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.28	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed MODUS	25c	130.83$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.82	1,034	16.3%169 W · 865 L	-158.1wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-51%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1b97…5521backed MODUS	39c	122.28$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.18	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-32%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked MODUS	45c	120$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.9	1,154	47.7%550 W · 604 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e70…caccbacked MODUS	40c	119.46$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.21	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	36cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x050e…d92fbacked Cheeki_Breeki	55c	113.63$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.96	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbe1…3ce5backed Cheeki_Breeki	62c	107.17$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.72	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+94.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked MODUS	62c	100.1$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.06	138	50%69 W · 69 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb4…9ed0backed MODUS	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	43	60.5%26 W · 17 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Cheeki_Breeki	61c	100$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	228	45.6%104 W · 124 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Cheeki_Breeki	61c	98.86$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.23	1,797	55.8%1,003 W · 794 L	+37.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked Cheeki_Breeki	63c	97.78$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.18	540	58.9%318 W · 222 L	+17.4wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Cheeki_Breeki	62c	97.47$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.04	1,260	49.7%626 W · 634 L	+21.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Cheeki_Breeki	19c	91$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.71	350	32.3%113 W · 237 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Cheeki_Breeki	19c	91$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.71	690	33.3%230 W · 460 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Cheeki_Breeki	19c	91$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.71	168	37.5%63 W · 105 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed MODUS	39c	83.99$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.76	253	49.4%125 W · 128 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Cheeki_Breeki	56c	77.89$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.27	479	51.8%248 W · 231 L	+17.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed MODUS	45c	77.36$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.81	120	65.8%79 W · 41 L	+15.4wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+25%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked Cheeki_Breeki	25c	72.39$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.5	149	62.4%93 W · 56 L	+21.8wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked MODUS	42c	57.45$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.13	412	44.7%184 W · 228 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed MODUS	35c	54.91$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.22	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cheeki_Breeki	77c	49.54$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.39	2,378	47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L	+15.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked Cheeki_Breeki	61c	48.83$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.04	582	50.5%294 W · 288 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d28…87b5backed Cheeki_Breeki	58c	42.18$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.81	68	60.3%41 W · 27 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3db2…be55backed Cheeki_Breeki	61c	32.02$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.49	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	69cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed MODUS	62c	31.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.54	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Cheeki_Breeki	74c	28.98$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.58	1,280	45%576 W · 704 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b04…f467backed MODUS	43c	27.96$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.02	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.2wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x55d6…108dbacked Cheeki_Breeki	61c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.8	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Cheeki_Breeki	62c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.6	361	38.2%138 W · 223 L	-20.4wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed MODUS	68c	17$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.56	1,013	45.5%461 W · 552 L	-46.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2b2…2e80backed MODUS	70c	16.45$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.53	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs MODUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsthis page
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs MODUS - Game 1 WinnerMODUS won
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs MODUS - Game 2 WinnerCheeki_Breeki won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs MODUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event