Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs MODUS - Game 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30497d39664bfd7d211450c07676dd268ab3e7e4f0bb1dcff21fc55d53eca781

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: MODUSof Cheeki_Breeki, MODUS
Resolved: Apr 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $19,732
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $24,249

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,732 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Cheeki_Breeki	37c	3,375$1,233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,232.93	966	45.1%436 W · 530 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed MODUS	67c	1,455$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$475.08	617	45.7%282 W · 335 L	-12.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked MODUS	63c	859.59$542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.05	798	59%471 W · 327 L	+16.1wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed MODUS	46c	530.31$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.34	446	45.7%204 W · 242 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Cheeki_Breeki	18c	402.32$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.42	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde1f…d634backed Cheeki_Breeki	15c	399.15$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.87	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Cheeki_Breeki	65c	377.83$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.6	866	59.6%516 W · 350 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Cheeki_Breeki	53c	365.1$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.4	1,186	43.2%512 W · 674 L	+42.2wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked MODUS	64c	364.16$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.41	1,702	41.2%701 W · 1,001 L	-44.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed MODUS	79c	326.15$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.53	73	41.1%30 W · 43 L	-6.1wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MODUS	62c	300$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114	1,272	45%572 W · 700 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Cheeki_Breeki	21c	299.9$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.02	39	41%16 W · 23 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe239…1761backed Cheeki_Breeki	54c	296.33$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.77	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed MODUS	79c	293.65$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.67	88	50%44 W · 44 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Cheeki_Breeki	55c	272.73$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	500	53%265 W · 235 L	+14.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Cheeki_Breeki	37c	234.2$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.94	774	58.5%453 W · 321 L	+75.1wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Cheeki_Breeki	11c	221.67$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.77	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c78…2ab1backed MODUS	65c	198.02$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.89	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.21per pick	54cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Cheeki_Breeki	54c	180.07$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.24	897	41.5%372 W · 525 L	+22.7wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed MODUS	80c	164.3$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.98	194	58.8%114 W · 80 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed MODUS	47c	156.97$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.09	340	51.5%175 W · 165 L	+11.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Cheeki_Breeki	10c	150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	360	44.2%159 W · 201 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3091…748dbacked Cheeki_Breeki	25c	131.88$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.47	189	23.8%45 W · 144 L	-13.7wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed MODUS	58c	99.34$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.61	305	34.4%105 W · 200 L	-14.3wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Cheeki_Breeki	30c	88$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.09	551	47.5%262 W · 289 L	+22.3wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked MODUS	51c	83$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.84	155	36.1%56 W · 99 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Cheeki_Breeki	47c	82.74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.96	576	54.5%314 W · 262 L	+29.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked MODUS	67c	80.73$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.83	735	54.7%402 W · 333 L	-3.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed MODUS	46c	79.34$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.85	241	38.6%93 W · 148 L	-18.0wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe64b…9cf1backed MODUS	47c	74.68$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.6	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…8e7ebacked MODUS	61c	70.63$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.55	338	54.1%183 W · 155 L	+11.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe727…f6e1backed MODUS	59c	69.74$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.72	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Cheeki_Breeki	32c	61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.52	690	33.3%230 W · 460 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Cheeki_Breeki	42c	55.21$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.33	670	43.3%290 W · 380 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked MODUS	64c	53.89$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.17	1,280	45%576 W · 704 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…c2f5backed MODUS	78c	53.02$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.66	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	61cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d28…87b5backed Cheeki_Breeki	47c	52$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.2	68	60.3%41 W · 27 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee59…e42abacked MODUS	56c	51.69$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.74	288	46.9%135 W · 153 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3066…693abacked MODUS	39c	51.28$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.28	546	48.5%265 W · 281 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked MODUS	47c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	153	42.5%65 W · 88 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81fe…4089backed MODUS	66c	49.33$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.77	132	62.9%83 W · 49 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked MODUS	50c	48.5$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.25	138	54.3%75 W · 63 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Cheeki_Breeki	22c	45.46$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1,034	16.3%169 W · 865 L	-158.1wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-51%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1676…ab19backed MODUS	51c	44.94$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.02	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…ef1cbacked MODUS	51c	44.49$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.8	227	40.5%92 W · 135 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd30…9a01backed MODUS	61c	32.01$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.48	160	54.4%87 W · 73 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked MODUS	66c	31.34$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.66	149	63.1%94 W · 55 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfff1…12e4backed MODUS	46c	30.95$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.71	129	37.2%48 W · 81 L	-6.8wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Cheeki_Breeki	35c	30$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.45	785	16.6%130 W · 655 L	-135.4wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Cheeki_Breeki	52c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	958	41.1%394 W · 564 L	+32.7wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5011…6237backed MODUS	56c	29.98$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.19	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked MODUS	63c	29.32$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.85	122	55.7%68 W · 54 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked MODUS	44c	26$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.6	1,275	33.5%427 W · 848 L	-15.6wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed MODUS	55c	25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.24	354	30.5%108 W · 246 L	-27.2wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1620…227bbacked MODUS	71c	24.05$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.97	137	62.8%86 W · 51 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7560…1ee1backed MODUS	46c	22.78$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.3	211	33.6%71 W · 140 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed MODUS	69c	22.4$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.95	252	53.2%134 W · 118 L	+20.3wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4775…0bcebacked MODUS	65c	19.58$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.85	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x340f…8068backed MODUS	76c	19.36$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.58	17	82.4%14 W · 3 L	+3.1wins	+0.18per pick	64cpaid	+23%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked MODUS	78c	16.78$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.69	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+3.6wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe53b…fe03backed MODUS	71c	15.3$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.44	61	57.4%35 W · 26 L	-7.7wins	-0.13per pick	70cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs MODUS - Game 1 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs MODUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 PlayoffsCheeki_Breeki won
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs MODUS - Game 2 WinnerCheeki_Breeki won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs MODUS - Game 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event