NHL · resolved market
AHL: Abbotsford Canucks vs. Ontario Reign
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31db71314d952fdf49022965b69f670360b3fcbb42dbd2fbfa40c3d9dbcf537b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Abbotsford Canucksof Abbotsford Canucks, Ontario Reign
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Ontario Reign | 65c | 1,440$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.86 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Abbotsford Canucks | 35c | 320.01$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.01 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Abbotsford Canucks | 35c | 320.01$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.01 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc84e…523bbacked Abbotsford Canucks | 35c | 295.96$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Abbotsford Canucks | 35c | 225.18$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.37 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Ontario Reign | 36c | 111.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Abbotsford Canucks | 35c | 99.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Ontario Reign | 66c | 75.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Ontario Reign | 68c | 69.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Abbotsford Canucks | 35c | 57.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Abbotsford Canucks | 34c | 50.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Abbotsford Canucks | 35c | 50.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Abbotsford Canucks | 32c | 47.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72af…c833backed Abbotsford Canucks | 34c | 44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa7…858fbacked Ontario Reign | 67c | 29.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Abbotsford Canucks | 65c | 27.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Ontario Reign | 55c | 24.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1abb…9d8fbacked Ontario Reign | 71c | 21.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.