NHL · resolved market
AHL: Henderson Silver Knights vs. Tucson Roadrunners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00806974057edc5fd918298e6da87ceae3f7d0a28508f24d247a6e967454498e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tucson Roadrunnersof Henderson Silver Knights, Tucson Roadrunners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Henderson Silver Knights | 1c | 6,643$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 0c | 6,409$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Henderson Silver Knights | 10c | 413.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 12c | 410.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Henderson Silver Knights | 5c | 349.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Tucson Roadrunners | 42c | 300.42$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.24 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 12c | 265.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Henderson Silver Knights | 58c | 172.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tucson Roadrunners | 48c | 111.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Henderson Silver Knights | 58c | 74.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc84e…523bbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 57c | 55.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Tucson Roadrunners | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Tucson Roadrunners | 41c | 45.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Tucson Roadrunners | 49c | 43.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Henderson Silver Knights | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked Tucson Roadrunners | 80c | 29.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Tucson Roadrunners | 42c | 29.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Tucson Roadrunners | 56c | 28.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 71 | 67.6%48 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5da…5f86backed Henderson Silver Knights | 59c | 25.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Henderson Silver Knights | 58c | 17.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.