La Liga · resolved market
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c329e916dc8caa8b893ec30dce7c78fc4d0806dc15ea3d851be6a6b8998f04e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No | 69c | 7,337$5,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.57 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 30c | 5,837$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.39 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked No | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.98 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 1,482$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.17 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 24c | 1,418$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.04 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 31c | 1,047$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.51 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Yes | 31c | 618.45$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.72 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 599.33$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.77 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 19c | 367.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes | 32c | 293.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 76c | 245.18$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe141…7832backed Yes | 23c | 216.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 203.53$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 17c | 156.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 27c | 152.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 68c | 145.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 144.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 76c | 118.89$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 28c | 109.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 28c | 107.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Yes | 28c | 107.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 28c | 103.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96da…69ffbacked Yes | 24c | 97.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Yes | 33c | 95.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 31c | 94.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Yes | 33c | 91.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 77c | 90.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 28c | 86.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Yes | 33c | 83.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 76c | 81.72$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 76c | 81.72$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed Yes | 23c | 78.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 77c | 75.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked No | 78c | 75.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 28c | 65.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 28c | 45.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c9…3ecdbacked Yes | 31c | 44.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 77c | 42.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 78c | 42.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 77c | 40.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 37.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Yes | 32c | 36.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 30c | 34.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 75c | 32.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 77c | 31.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 79c | 25.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 45 | 82.2%37 W · 8 L | +10.0wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9699…b8fdbacked No | 68c | 24.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 67c | 18.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will Cádiz CF vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Andorra win on 2026-04-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.