La Liga · resolved market
Will Cádiz CF vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3634ab2b7c59d16ccd4733802106c9cdfa63286ab06ae3c6a6e00ecf89a472a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 78c | 1,242$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.48 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 21c | 667.19$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.76 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 29c | 391.39$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 215.46$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.43 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 212.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 65c | 187.04$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 154.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 35c | 96.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 29c | 95.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96da…69ffbacked Yes | 22c | 95.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 71c | 88.96$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 105 | 61.9%65 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Yes | 37c | 78.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 71.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 22c | 61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 70c | 59.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 51.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d6…fa72backed No | 80c | 33.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cádiz CF vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?this page
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-04-12?No won
- Will FC Andorra win on 2026-04-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.