TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

AHL: San Jose Barracuda vs. Henderson Silver Knights

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Henderson Silver Knightsof San Jose Barracuda, Henderson Silver Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,546
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,750

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,546 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8c8…d8a4backed San Jose Barracuda47c1,096$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.9914940.9%61 W · 88 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked San Jose Barracuda44c446.26$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.361428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked San Jose Barracuda73c326.85$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.61,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Henderson Silver Knights27c300$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21911435.1%40 W · 74 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Henderson Silver Knights53c267.23$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.65240.4%21 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Henderson Silver Knights53c207.37$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.458749.4%43 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x483b…0679backed Henderson Silver Knights53c183.98$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.473100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bac…f1a6backed Henderson Silver Knights53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.182962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Henderson Silver Knights56c174.27$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6853849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20a8…d960backed Henderson Silver Knights30c138.01$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9436662%227 W · 139 L+39.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Henderson Silver Knights46c135.77$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9311551.3%59 W · 56 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Henderson Silver Knights53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4720245%91 W · 111 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed San Jose Barracuda45c98.84$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.484158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Henderson Silver Knights55c86.2$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7917553.1%93 W · 82 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x165b…711cbacked San Jose Barracuda47c70.8$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.284946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Henderson Silver Knights53c68.8$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.347152.1%37 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked San Jose Barracuda58c64.71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6550251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Henderson Silver Knights56c58.42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.72254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked San Jose Barracuda47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.592444.5%411 W · 513 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc0…8107backed Henderson Silver Knights53c49.42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.23955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Henderson Silver Knights53c48.59$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.848844.3%39 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed San Jose Barracuda74c47.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0631448.7%153 W · 161 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Henderson Silver Knights56c47.3$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.818164.2%52 W · 29 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd473…84e4backed Henderson Silver Knights32c44.96$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.57633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5a…24f1backed Henderson Silver Knights56c44.54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Henderson Silver Knights56c34.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.39846.9%46 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db2…be55backed Henderson Silver Knights58c33.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.123060%18 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked San Jose Barracuda48c31.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.255444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ef2…5584backed Henderson Silver Knights53c27.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.933948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed San Jose Barracuda43c26.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4514855.4%82 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9123…cefbbacked Henderson Silver Knights56c26.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked San Jose Barracuda62c22.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.71,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Henderson Silver Knights56c20.44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.055556.4%31 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked San Jose Barracuda56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.121355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.