La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb280212d31b3d57ed2068211cc46188363a19fa0c0373955784bef35e1f9c684
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 56c | 6,900$3,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,033 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 53c | 3,665$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.78 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 43c | 3,350$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.37 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 78c | 2,769$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.91 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 47c | 2,248$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.89 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed No | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Yes | 53c | 1,151$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -73%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 31c | 1,127$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.01 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed No | 43c | 1,099$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 1,047$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.57 | 4,868 | 47%2,287 W · 2,581 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 49c | 755.92$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 638 | 57.8%369 W · 269 L | +43.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 64c | 714.05$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.4 | 1,479 | 45%665 W · 814 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 53c | 601.89$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.89 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 50c | 321.13$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.55 | 525 | 52.2%274 W · 251 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Yes | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 45cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 229.02$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.67 | 2,409 | 48.4%1,165 W · 1,244 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 50c | 209.51$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.56 | 1,140 | 48.2%549 W · 591 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed No | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 53c | 195$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7607…85debacked Yes | 55c | 183.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 52c | 127.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 893 | 50.1%447 W · 446 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 50c | 118$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 52c | 85.45$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 47c | 80.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 53c | 60.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 53c | 57.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 57c | 51.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 52c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 460 | 24.1%111 W · 349 L | -52.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -48%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 41.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 1,695 | 51.5%873 W · 822 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…d654backed Yes | 52c | 37.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 50c | 30.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…17c4backed No | 48c | 29.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 44c | 26.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 129 | 25.6%33 W · 96 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee4…4b3ebacked No | 51c | 19.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdb…ea76backed Yes | 52c | 19.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Real Valladolid CF vs. SD Huesca end in a draw?No won
- Will SD Huesca win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.