Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-04-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3be84d679c085a47becb3bc2cf3759f9517677d8b8b59ca96cb00579cc42aef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 63c | 3,783$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 63c | 2,980$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.12 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 2,299$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.33 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 68c | 2,005$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.13 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 3c | 1,514$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 39c | 1,310$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.4 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 1,160$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.97 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 37c | 1,001$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 74c | 866.61$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.44 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 18c | 839.98$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.3 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 36c | 699.32$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.55 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed Yes | 77c | 651.29$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 77c | 540.55$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.41 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 72c | 528.44$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.92 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 77c | 492.43$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.34 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes | 40c | 482$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.2 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 40c | 482$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.2 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 36c | 481.75$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.02 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 25c | 454.02$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.79 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 43c | 395.68$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.64 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x214a…408abacked No | 64c | 386.83$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 11c | 360.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 77c | 226.04$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 65c | 218.64$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.16 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ea…2f4bbacked Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 75c | 196.98$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 43c | 193.16$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 29c | 188.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 177.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.95 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 72c | 172.03$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 19c | 115.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 57c | 110.43$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 57c | 110.43$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 42c | 107.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 69c | 98.16$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…2414backed No | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed No | 23c | 92.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes | 43c | 88.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6432…36febacked Yes | 80c | 85.44$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 47c | 70.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Yes | 38c | 66.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked No | 32c | 64.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b04…f467backed Yes | 34c | 53.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +135.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 38c | 50.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Yes | 43c | 47.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked No | 22c | 47.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Yes | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 69c | 44.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 59c | 33.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 43c | 33.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a9…26abbacked Yes | 44c | 24.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3655…9872backed Yes | 73c | 23.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 66c | 21.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Yes | 69c | 19.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed Yes | 79c | 14.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.98 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-04-24?this page
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-04-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.