Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96145fee4154c5e39d63440309b4f6675f9568687a17bd2c86dd8685e2d28d6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 32c | 1,199$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.18 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 1,148$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.24 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 934.57$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.36 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 917.51$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.63 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 489.36$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.04 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 70c | 463.11$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.74 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Yes | 36c | 341.85$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.07 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 30c | 319.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 16c | 308.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 8c | 300.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 30c | 258.63$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.59 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 31c | 156.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a1…fa1abacked Yes | 26c | 126.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…5c17backed Yes | 26c | 115.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 27c | 106.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 78c | 105.31$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 22c | 100.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 26c | 99.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 95.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 26c | 84.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 18c | 63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 76c | 53.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 76c | 50.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 73c | 47.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bec…aad9backed No | 74c | 33.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked No | 77c | 29.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 74c | 28.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf75…b885backed No | 72c | 26.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed No | 71c | 20.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed No | 72c | 20.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 74c | 20.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked No | 75c | 17.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x408d…a9a3backed No | 72c | 14.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…8417backed No | 74c | 14.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 79c | 14.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-04-24?Yes won
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-04-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.