Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c30b81444bac352bfd71c06205cc3d5566bd8fb3dce9b0cffeb0273c4ff2027
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bayer 04 Leverkusenof Bayer 04 Leverkusen, VfL Wolfsburg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked VfL Wolfsburg | 57c | 41,538$23,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,676.55 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 43c | 28,076$12,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,003.08 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 43c | 12,564$5,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,161.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed VfL Wolfsburg | 55c | 9,490$5,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,235.19 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed VfL Wolfsburg | 56c | 9,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,039.89 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 39c | 6,833$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,152.22 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 44c | 4,954$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774.34 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed VfL Wolfsburg | 57c | 1,811$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.72 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 45c | 1,530$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.68 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 44c | 1,044$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.45 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed VfL Wolfsburg | 57c | 870.09$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.95 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 44c | 760.54$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.07 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 44c | 589.5$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 44c | 557.06$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.74 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 44c | 549.15$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.15 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 44c | 549.05$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.47 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 36c | 528.79$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.02 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 44c | 472.7$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.57 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…d6aabacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 45c | 439.35$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked VfL Wolfsburg | 58c | 420.17$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.7 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d8e5backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 45c | 420$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 45c | 370$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 44c | 319.03$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.25 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 15c | 316.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.27 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 45c | 290.67$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.44 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 45c | 260.94$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.52 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe19e…ac82backed VfL Wolfsburg | 58c | 252.1$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed VfL Wolfsburg | 30c | 245.66$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.39 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 27c | 233.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.88 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed VfL Wolfsburg | 56c | 225$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 44c | 219.55$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.9 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 45c | 196.81$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 35c | 193.95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.87 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 44c | 185.55$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.91 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 44c | 181.66$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 44c | 180$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 42c | 153.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.08 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 21c | 153.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.08 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 44c | 144.15$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 44c | 143.03$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 45c | 139.92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed VfL Wolfsburg | 56c | 129.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 43c | 112.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 44c | 105.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.61 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 45c | 101.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 27c | 96.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 55c | 89.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 45c | 85.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed VfL Wolfsburg | 57c | 84.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 46c | 81.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…4fb3backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 43c | 78.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6c…e9a0backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 43c | 78.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 44c | 67.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecf…9148backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 45c | 64.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 45c | 59.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…9341backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 45c | 59.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ec…ab04backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 43c | 52.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 44c | 50.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 44c | 50.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 45c | 45.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76b…b834backed VfL Wolfsburg | 57c | 42.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…5be2backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 43c | 39.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ac…40d1backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 42c | 37.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed VfL Wolfsburg | 70c | 37.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 44c | 37.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…2bb0backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 44c | 36.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed VfL Wolfsburg | 55c | 35.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked VfL Wolfsburg | 55c | 35.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 44c | 34.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 45c | 32.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked VfL Wolfsburg | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…7685backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 41c | 28.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 44c | 25.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed VfL Wolfsburg | 66c | 20.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)this page
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5Over won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
- Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-1.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
- Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-2.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.