NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0537b6af3f04a411bf9aaf195c4d698c7c796d4f98bc3b3c9b0353bf5f1095f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 46c | 6,323$2,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.68 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 54c | 3,687$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.98 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 48c | 2,773$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.83 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Over | 52c | 2,110$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 53c | 1,056$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.26 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 53c | 1,055$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.85 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 52c | 502$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.96 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 53c | 446$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.61 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1b…5afdbacked Under | 48c | 412.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Over | 58c | 210.34$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.34 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 48c | 206.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 52c | 183.3$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 47c | 172.79$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 46c | 128.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.1 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Under | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 47c | 98.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 53c | 92.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 59c | 80.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead8…ce1abacked Under | 46c | 63.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…1207backed Under | 49c | 41.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Over | 59c | 34.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6896…c672backed Over | 58c | 32.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 58c | 25.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 52c | 22.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 235 | 59.1%139 W · 96 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5this page
- Islanders vs. Blue JacketsIslanders won
- Islanders vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Islanders vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.