South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Rosario Central vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8561ccda6f2815bf01a7a7b131ac81af3d627614720e28299abb38ebb70cf74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 15c | 1,640$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.9 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 46c | 994$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.76 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 54c | 914.05$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.59 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Over | 53c | 663.53$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.71 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 47c | 634.51$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.93 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +112%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under | 63c | 301.64$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.99 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 28c | 243$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 38c | 237$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 64c | 198.72$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed Over | 56c | 100.66$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 23c | 70.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…fd8fbacked Under | 43c | 65.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 57c | 65.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 54c | 64.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 63.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 49c | 63.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 41c | 60.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 494 | 40.9%202 W · 292 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Over | 21c | 50.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed Over | 34c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Rosario Central vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- CA Rosario Central vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Rosario Central vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: CA Rosario Central O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 5.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: SC Corinthians Paulista 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-2.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)CA Rosario Central won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.