South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Rosario Central vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73cad1eee42acb2832db4ef7cba6f439d191af1b7388b13bf1ce07f67527e4c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 44c | 6,517$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.72 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 3,121$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.37 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 46c | 2,195$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.52 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 45c | 2,126$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.05 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 65c | 1,575$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.57 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 12c | 1,399$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 18c | 506.22$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.12 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Over | 54c | 466$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.64 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 44c | 449.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 46c | 339$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.06 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Under | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 24c | 306.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Under | 77c | 279.63$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.06 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 56c | 265.92$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.07 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Under | 67c | 161.28$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 47c | 160.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.98 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 156$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Over | 55c | 129.09$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 76c | 116.75$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 49c | 105$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 24c | 104.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Over | 57c | 97.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 55c | 97.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over | 55c | 93.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 27c | 81.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 79c | 73.24$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 80c | 65.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Over | 55c | 54.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 46c | 37.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 43c | 36.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9d…4073backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 45c | 33.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 80c | 20.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 63c | 18.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c22…7b22backed Under | 73c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Under | 72c | 16.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Rosario Central vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Rosario Central vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Rosario Central vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: CA Rosario Central O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 5.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: SC Corinthians Paulista 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-2.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)CA Rosario Central won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.