Premier League · resolved market
Sheffield United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11c8d530518234029ee095db0162143a3eef70cd2afa079edfd334e6661e343c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,671 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 2,846$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.59 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 40c | 999.28$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.57 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 41c | 662.09$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.8 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…cc36backed Under | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 436.67$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7537…801dbacked Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c4…48e3backed Under | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4b…f7d2backed Under | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Under | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 73c | 192.58$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…eedfbacked Over | 56c | 169.64$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.64 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Under | 10c | 145.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 74c | 90$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +8.3wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +47%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 31c | 80.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 51c | 59.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 42c | 56.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Over | 75c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 41.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8f…2b46backed Over | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 72c | 16.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sheffield United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Sheffield United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sheffield United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Sheffield United FC (-1.5)West Bromwich Albion FC won
- Spread: West Bromwich Albion FC (-1.5)Sheffield United FC won
- Spread: West Bromwich Albion FC (-2.5)Sheffield United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.