Premier League · resolved market
Sheffield United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a7013a587f7a6be55ded13347500ee58461fb919b3f509b4810ce4224a4d4fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,119 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 66c | 1,523$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.83 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 17c | 1,249$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.34 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 49c | 1,139$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.99 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 1,001$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.41 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 67c | 661.28$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.35 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 15c | 660$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 49c | 246.94$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 51c | 241.84$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 12c | 238.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 48c | 220$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 49c | 214.29$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Over | 17c | 213$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 48c | 133.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 49c | 125$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 49c | 119$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 49c | 115$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Over | 43c | 111.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 66c | 95.26$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 49c | 70.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +14.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 45c | 69.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 70c | 58.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 48c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 67c | 39.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 29.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Over | 45c | 29.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked Under | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 49c | 21.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a94…85cabacked Over | 48c | 20.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sheffield United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Sheffield United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sheffield United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sheffield United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Sheffield United FC (-1.5)West Bromwich Albion FC won
- Spread: West Bromwich Albion FC (-1.5)Sheffield United FC won
- Spread: West Bromwich Albion FC (-2.5)Sheffield United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.