Premier League · resolved market
Port Vale FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e7607a99bb567cd729f310b1f403c72d92e96982953ac4c782ce718f717cf0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,753 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 51c | 4,521$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.23 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 32c | 2,015$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.86 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 75c | 1,898$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.23 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes | 33c | 1,496$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 34c | 1,239$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.3 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 36c | 1,128$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.58 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 58c | 690.19$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 61c | 500$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.16 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4052…0014backed Yes | 48c | 474.98$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes | 57c | 439.21$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 27c | 425$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.04 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 404.85$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.89 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d5…4af2backed Yes | 73c | 376.49$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 74c | 310$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.1 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes | 76c | 269.64$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.18 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 46c | 247.65$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.77 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Yes | 37c | 240.54$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 63c | 238.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 55c | 220$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 63c | 201.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.98 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Yes | 64c | 188.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes | 58c | 147.05$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 44c | 142.06$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 57c | 141.51$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked No | 29c | 129$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.21 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ea…18e7backed Yes | 35c | 128.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Yes | 63c | 119.58$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.89 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…eedfbacked Yes | 78c | 112.82$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…2020backed Yes | 76c | 104.33$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed No | 68c | 102.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…cf23backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…7eacbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Yes | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…c33bbacked Yes | 51c | 93.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 59c | 84.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…d85abacked Yes | 75c | 83.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…305ebacked Yes | 75c | 80.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 48c | 75.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 55c | 60.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…ef8bbacked Yes | 78c | 60.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 32c | 56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 54c | 55.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe26a…bb60backed No | 46c | 43.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…d0d5backed Yes | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Yes | 45c | 33.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 61c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9036…100fbacked Yes | 74c | 27.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 41c | 24.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes | 74c | 21.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Port Vale FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Port Vale FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Port Vale FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Port Vale FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Port Vale FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Port Vale FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.