Premier League · resolved market
Port Vale FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7aaf1349ab9f3a4cf1a0797144b0a82e11c2590ba5046fa8fec595635ef778d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,223 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 62c | 5,136$3,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.31 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Under | 53c | 3,677$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.34 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Over | 34c | 3,039$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 47c | 2,345$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.15 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 54c | 1,788$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.98 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…ef8bbacked Over | 53c | 1,658$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 1,050$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.33 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Under | 72c | 693.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.68 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 40c | 501.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 25c | 441$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe0…ce21backed Over | 59c | 335.24$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 10c | 283.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…4dcfbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 45c | 189.85$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.49 | 320 | 49.1%157 W · 163 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 54c | 134.3$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 317 | 46.1%146 W · 171 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f84…6c38backed Over | 48c | 123.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 37c | 123.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…fcf3backed Under | 52c | 109.62$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 26c | 101.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…dcebbacked Over | 44c | 91.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 409 | 42.1%172 W · 237 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | +47.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7587…521cbacked Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…0363backed Over | 35c | 63.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 46c | 63.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 49c | 60.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 51c | 60.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 49c | 58.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ea…18e7backed Over | 44c | 54.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 49c | 32.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 47c | 29.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Port Vale FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5this page
- Port Vale FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Port Vale FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Port Vale FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Port Vale FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Port Vale FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.