Premier League · resolved market
Ipswich Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x285d6cc4dbe9b9d845d432c050b39905074b0e7043f3855d258bcc5bf6db465c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,678 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 5,868$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.33 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd068…18f9backed Over | 67c | 2,476$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 77c | 2,350$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.77 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 26c | 2,069$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.16 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 77c | 1,920$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.16 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 22c | 1,039$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.63 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 23c | 920.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.1 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…7468backed Over | 76c | 628.32$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 32c | 415.94$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.54 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 78c | 231.16$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed Under | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 77c | 190$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 35c | 189.11$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Over | 72c | 152.78$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 78c | 128.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…eedfbacked Over | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 39c | 94.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +8.3wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +47%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 60c | 85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 82.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8f…2b46backed Over | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 23c | 64.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 26c | 46.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…bc76backed Over | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 75cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 78c | 29.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)Leicester City FC won
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-2.5)Leicester City FC won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-1.5)Ipswich Town FC won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-2.5)Ipswich Town FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.