TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Ipswich Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,981

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,981 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Over54c44,476$23,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,998.267753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under46c23,575$10,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,710.622,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under46c11,355$5,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,131.9385048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over54c9,541$5,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,151.9616651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c9,294$4,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,535.526,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over54c8,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,319.9913444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under45c6,082$2,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,344.0750644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Under46c4,348$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.83966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under46c3,500$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8909272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under46c2,687$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.985257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under47c2,367$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.5875850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under47c1,634$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.919253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over53c1,604$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85014166.7%94 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over55c1,531$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.971,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81013662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over54c1,422$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.9740953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504924.5%12 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54026651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under46c681.54$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.652,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75b3…982ebacked Over29c646.8$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over41c609.76$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Under46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2707268.1%49 W · 23 L+13.8wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+42%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under46c397.92$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.8839948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under46c366$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.6474156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under73c237.27$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4746943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under61c231.27$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.691,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over55c230$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.530149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Under48c229.17$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.171154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under46c225$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.529259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over22c173.67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8123435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb582…57d7backed Under45c170$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Over55c162$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.110448.1%50 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over53c158.49$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8432164.5%207 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over36c155.56$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5628633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over53c150.47$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7525348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8165557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8111866.1%78 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8183459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over22c142.3$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.972,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under46c131.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8316357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under46c125$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.537557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20319.7%3 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-46.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under46c115$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.135157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014551.7%75 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under46c111.16$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0313152.7%69 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under46c110$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.437554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Over54c109$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.867440.5%30 W · 44 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Over34c95.46$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.465135.3%18 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011969.7%83 W · 36 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under46c90$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.627354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under46c90$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.632357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under46c86.51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7223250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under46c84$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3645751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4055654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over54c79.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.196144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b74…26d4backed Over55c76$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under46c75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over56c73.03$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8736554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over22c72.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.631747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under48c71.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2120758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Over22c64.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0110540%42 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Over57c60.17$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.193630.6%11 W · 25 L-6.4wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-37.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.426958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.426158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.430554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.425456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.426058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.436758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.429057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.428255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.438358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.437958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.413842.8%59 W · 79 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under46c56.25$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3739052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over29c55.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611839.8%47 W · 71 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over47c52.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259339.8%37 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.427846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Under71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.518963%119 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2736259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2712951.2%66 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2359645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207245.8%33 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279554.7%52 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c16…c36fbacked Over30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152433.3%8 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+44%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under50c48.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1849753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258048.8%39 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under46c45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.34379.1%34 W · 9 L+8.3wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+47%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfc12…524cbacked Over55c41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa474…073ebacked Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011053.6%59 W · 51 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.67160.6%43 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.628359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under68c39.73$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8616251.2%83 W · 79 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Under47c36.82$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.392951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under46c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4417138.6%66 W · 105 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c35.66$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.61,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15f5…cbb2backed Under48c34.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd82c…b080backed Over53c33.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.