Champions League · resolved market
Tottenham Hotspur FC leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9701b6554127c34982ecdbfa801e8728e5b2df528973612760f5032b05ebc6ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,666 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 33c | 675$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.65 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 67c | 516.36$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.37 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 33c | 389.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.69 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 69c | 358.88$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.42 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Yes | 33c | 231.77$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 213.44$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.94 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 33c | 185$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.51 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 68c | 173.44$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.17 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f48…b9abbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…684dbacked Yes | 33c | 105.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 68c | 97.87$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 69c | 79.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…ffedbacked Yes | 76c | 65.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…fd89backed Yes | 35c | 52.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 65c | 47.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 34c | 47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…ef64backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +187.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 69c | 28.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 68c | 23.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…9af8backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tottenham Hotspur FC leading at halftime?this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?No won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.